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Size Matters: Rockets shrink late in fourth

Losses to the Lakers, Nuggets, Hornets and Spurs could be understood given the quality of the opponent and the instability of Houston’s lineups, but things were supposed to get better for the Rockets in both areas this week.

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Losses to the Lakers, Nuggets, Hornets and Spurs could be understood given the quality of the opponent and the instability of Houston’s lineups, but things were supposed to get better for the Rockets in both areas this week.

They were “supposed to,” anyway.

John Wall threatened a quadruple-double, popping off for 19 points, 13 assists, 10 boards and 6 steals, as the Washington Wizards used a 10-0 run in the final minutes to drop the Rockets 98-91 Wednesday night.

To make matters (much, much) worse, Yao Ming left in the first half with an injury that the team is calling a “tendon strain.” Yao said after the game that it is not near the fracture injury he is returning from and that he believes it is near the ankle.

“Tomorrow we’ll have a scan,” said Yao. “Until tomorrow, I can’t tell you anything.”

Unbelievably, the Rockets are dealt two more blows: they’re now 1-6 and there is uncertainty around their big man. Suddenly, every game looks like it’s going to be a dogfight.

It looked like the Rockets’ fourth quarter luck was going to change. Led by Kevin Martin (31 points, 7 boards, 6 assists), the Rockets went on a 9-2 run, giving them an 85-84 lead with 5:52 to go. For that minute and a half, Martin was brilliant — he scored 7 points and then capped the run by picking a steal and dishing an assist to Luis Scola (24 points).

But then, nothing. As has become their calling card, the Rockets went colder than death at winning time. They went scoreless for five full minutes and by the time they put the ball back in the basket, the Wizards were up 9 and had mentally moved on to the next game.

Size was the issue down the stretch as the 6-foot-11 Andray Blatche looked like Shrek next to the Rockets’ undersized frontline. Rick Adelman will no doubt be criticized for his late roster decisions, taking out Chase Budinger for Shane Battier at the 5:50 mark and running with Chuck Hayes on Blatche, keeping Jordan Hill nailed to the pine for the entire second half (technically he put him in with 7 seconds left).

Up to this early point of the season, Kyle Lowry just looks flat lost. He was 2-11 on the night tonight and has now missed 20 of his 25 shots on the year. Lowry admitted after the game that his timing is “off”, and it shows. Granted he’s been dealing with back spasms so he gets a pass, but the Rockets desperately need him back on track.

And it’s not just him — the key players expected to contribute off the bench have been out of synch offensively. Chase Budinger has been mud from deep this year (13%) and Courtney Lee hasn’t had near the impact expected, shooting under 38% from the field and a hair over 27% from long range.

The Rockets were supposed to come at you in waves this season, but so far, they’re just plain drowning.

On Deck
Everything else is trivial compared to Yao Ming’s health. The Rockets can’t move in a long-term direction without determining that Yao is a foundation piece and the first seven games haven’t instilled confidence. Yao will have a scan done tomorrow and we’ll know more. The very big hope right now is that he’s OK, that this is something minor. If it’s major (which I doubt), well … we’ll cross that bridge when we come to it.

The Indiana Pacers, led by Danny Granger, come next and what would have initially appeared as a win on an early glance at the schedule now looks iffy. Indiana recently lit up the Denver Nuggets with 20 straight field goals, so expect the Rockets’ defense to again be challenged.

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Armed with a bizarre fascination for Mario Elie and a deep love of the Houston Rockets, Dave Hardisty started ClutchFans in 1996 under the pen name “Clutch”.

Analysis

Rockets are throwing an awesome House Party, but how long will it last?

Danuel House has all the love from Houston right now, but will he stay here beyond this season?

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Danuel House Houston Rockets Return

Danuel House Jr. made his return to the starting lineup for the Houston Rockets on Friday night and the results were everything he and the team could have hoped for.

The versatile forward played just over 35 minutes in the win over Phoenix, tying his career high with 18 points while going 6 for 11 from the floor 4 for 8 from three while throwing in 4 rebounds with an assist and a steal. He also had what ultimately proved to be a decisive play in the final minutes, preventing Josh Jackson from scoring after stealing the ball from James Harden.

The Rocket announcers and fans all instantly reacted to the foul, believing it to be clean. While I myself was prepared to call it an awful foul call, House shared with Dave Hardisty after the game that he believed he made a little contact with Jackson on the follow-through and doesn’t blame the refs at all for making that call. Block or no block, the play proved huge for the Rockets as Jackson would miss both free throws and essentially end the game.

Clutch and the media caught up with House following the game:

After the impressive performance, fans are once again abuzz about what House means for this year’s team. Is he a starter? Will he come off the bench? Will he steal minutes from the thus-far-underperforming Iman Shumpert?

The Rockets will get answers to those questions over the final leg of the season as they head for the playoffs, but it seems pretty clear that House will play an important role in the Rockets title chase this season. His skill in shooting the three, combined with his ability to put the ball on the floor when his defender closes on him, is something sorely missing from this team. He demonstrated the combo repeatedly Friday night, attacking the rim and showing off his athleticism as Suns defenders tried to close him out on the three-point line.

Will they lose the House this summer?

Despite the excitement, you can’t help but let your mind wander to the offseason. Regardless of what happens to end this year, the Rockets are going to be in an interesting spot financially. After winning his stare down with Rockets management, House was converted to a standard NBA contract for the remainder of this season that will allow him to become a Restricted Free Agent heading into the 2019-20 NBA season. Gauging the market for House is extremely difficult right now and could fluctuate with his performance from here on out, but this much is clear; keeping House for next season will be complicated.

By virtue of his restricted free agency, the Rockets will have the right to match offers for House this offseason, but it comes with a catch. With the Rockets set to be over the salary cap, they can only match contract offers up to the mid-level exception. As a likely tax payer team next season (more on that in the offseason) that number will further be reduced to the tax-payer version of the MLE. Any contract for House above his qualifying offer ($1.88M) or Non-Bird rights (just north of $2M) would require the Rockets to pay him using those MLE dollars.

David Weiner (a must follow for any Rockets fan!) does a great job of breaking these options down on twitter. Basically, the Rockets could offer House up to 4 years and around $8.65 million in total dollars without using the MLE. That gives the Rockets three options to retain House next season:

  1. he plays on his qualifying offer ($1.88 million)
  2. he signs for a Non-Bird contract ($2+ million)
  3. he signs for all or a portion of the tax payer MLE ($5.6 million)
Assuming House plays well between now and the season’s end (hopefully sometime in June) the first two options seem unlikely.

Complicating matters for the Rockets is that beyond House, they will likely need that tax payer MLE to have a shot at keeping Austin Rivers and Kenneth Faried, both significant additions following buyouts this season. If one or both would accept their one year Non-Bird offer for a modest salary increase next year, it would certainly makes things easier, but even then the MLE would be the only avenue the team would have for adding talent in free agency this offseason (aside from the minimum).

Despite a perceived snub picked up on by Bill Worrell and Clyde Drexler, House has said he hopes to remain with the Rockets and went so far as to say “I trust Daryl” in an interview with Jonathan Feigen. House’s agent, Raymond Brothers, said that their priority was for House to remain with the Rockets in that same interview.
By converting House now instead of waiting until the end of the G-League season, the Rockets did ensure House earns $200k+ more than he would have otherwise, so perhaps that will create some goodwill heading into offseason negotiations. Still, with House and his agent so steadfast in their desire to hit RFA this season, you have to wonder if they have reason to feel confident that there is an offer out there already from another team.

It’s not impossible to imagine plausible scenarios where everything works out for the Rockets, both during this season and in the offseason. Could one of House or Rivers take their Non-Bird right contracts with the other taking the MLE? Absolutely. No matter what happens between now and the end of this Rockets season, keeping Danuel House for the 2019-20 NBA season will be an interesting challenge. Rockets fans can only hope that the decision has to be made following a strong showing from House throughout a deep playoff run.

There’s no question that the Rockets have title hopes once again this year and Danuel House, a player who went unclaimed on waivers twice this season, has managed to make himself an integral part of those hopes.

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Recaps

Bombs Away! Rockets nail 16 threes to cage Grizzlies

One of the many reasons the Rockets started the season as loss collectors was they couldn’t hit their three-point shots. That wasn’t the case Friday night in Memphis.

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One of the many reasons the Rockets started the season as loss collectors was they couldn’t hit their three-point shots.

That wasn’t the case Friday night in Memphis.

The Rockets went ballistic from deep against the Grizzlies, hitting an impressive 16-23 from long range as Houston lit up Memphis 127-111, improving to 7-12 on the season. The Rockets have now won three of their last four — all three wins against Western Conference opponents.

It was a night for Kyle Lowry, Kevin Martin and Brad Miller.
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Recaps

Out of Body: Battier dominates Kobe, Lakers in final minutes

The first half was playing out like every other Rocket game we’ve seen this season. They keep their head above water in the first and watch helplessly as their opponent starts to pull away in the second.

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Houston Rockets Shane Battier and Los Angeles Lakers Derek Fisher

I'm going to smoke you in the fourth... cool?

The first half was playing out like every other Rocket game we’ve seen this season. They keep their head above water in the first and watch helplessly as their opponent starts to pull away in the second.

But something changed Wednesday night, and when it got down to the final minutes, the most unlikely of candidates took over the contest.

Shane Battier scored 11 points over a two-minute span as the Rockets shut the door on the Lakers at crunch time, pulling out a 109-99 win at the Toyota Center.

Battier was a machine. He hit back-to-back triples, made a move that dropped Kobe Bryant to the floor to hit a 17-footer, then got fouled on a three-point attempt. After knocking down all three of those free throws, the Rockets led 105-99 with 41 ticks left, the Houston crowd was on fire and the improbable victory was in their hands.
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Outclassed: Short-handed Rockets no match for Mavericks

Are we alarmed yet? The Rockets couldn’t stop Dirk Nowitzki or Caron Butler (or for that matter, J.J. Barea) and were run 101-91 in Dallas Monday night, falling to 5-12 on the season.

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Are we alarmed yet?

The Rockets couldn’t stop Dirk Nowitzki or Caron Butler (or for that matter, J.J. Barea) and were run 101-91 in Dallas Monday night, falling to 5-12 on the season.

Houston shot under 36% from the floor and watched the Mavs hit a hair under 50%. They fall to 1-8 on the year in games in which they score under 100 points (and in their lone win, they had to score 99). It’s fairly official now: Defense is not their strong suit.
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Rockets digging deep hole with loss to Suns

If the Rockets are to get healthy and write a comeback story, they’ve set the stage by digging themselves a pretty deep hole.

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If the Rockets are to get healthy and write a comeback story, they’ve set the stage by digging themselves a pretty deep hole.

Houston Rockets Jordan Hill

Jordan Hill, 14 points on 7-8, 10 boards (video)

All five Suns starters scored 15 points or more Monday night as the Rockets dropped their fourth straight contest, a 123-116 loss to the Phoenix Suns in Houston, to fall to 3-10 on the year.

Three and Ten. Many of us were skeptical of things like their defense, but I don’t think anyone anticipated this start.

The Rockets did not hit their first three-pointer until the second half, going 0-12 from distance in the first two periods. They also put the Suns at the line 38 times and were outscored by 20 points at the stripe.

This was one of Shane Battier‘s worst games as a Rocket. He was 3-13 from the field and I don’t think I’ve ever seen him look so nailed to the floor (and that’s saying a lot). He couldn’t shoot over, past or through anyone. To make matters worse, he made two sloppy passes that sealed the game with the Rockets down 5 with 17 seconds to go.
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